Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.037289 0.040301 0.043463 0.047037 0.050970 0.055171 0.060006
2025-03-16 0.031728 0.035860 0.040440 0.045910 0.052291 0.059531 0.068410
2025-03-23 0.028282 0.033051 0.038553 0.045409 0.053780 0.063740 0.076594
2025-03-30 0.025745 0.030898 0.037037 0.044957 0.054996 0.067425 0.084174
2025-04-06 0.023515 0.028847 0.035372 0.044035 0.055369 0.069887 0.090199
2025-04-13 0.022286 0.027896 0.034932 0.044529 0.057465 0.074579 0.099405
2025-04-20 0.021037 0.026800 0.034187 0.044504 0.058788 0.078241 0.107405
2025-04-27 0.020180 0.026137 0.033931 0.045065 0.060878 0.083031 0.117330
2025-05-04 0.019135 0.025144 0.033149 0.044814 0.061762 0.086112 0.124930
2025-05-11 0.018232 0.024282 0.032477 0.044646 0.062709 0.089295 0.132882
2025-05-18 0.017384 0.023442 0.031775 0.044366 0.063438 0.092153 0.140507
2025-05-25 0.016671 0.022748 0.031231 0.044268 0.064402 0.095394 0.148974
2025-06-01 0.015828 0.021834 0.030332 0.043596 0.064454 0.097235 0.155329
2025-06-08 0.014994 0.020890 0.029340 0.042720 0.064121 0.098414 0.160636
2025-06-15 0.014348 0.020192 0.028673 0.042297 0.064465 0.100702 0.168052
2025-06-22 0.013756 0.019543 0.028044 0.041890 0.064794 0.102958 0.175580
2025-06-29 0.013096 0.018762 0.027173 0.041045 0.064330 0.103804 0.180531
2025-07-06 0.012799 0.018518 0.027114 0.041499 0.066070 0.108590 0.193377
2025-07-13 0.012408 0.018111 0.026780 0.041477 0.066980 0.111946 0.203738
2025-07-20 0.012164 0.017920 0.026773 0.041992 0.068849 0.117164 0.218321
2025-07-27 0.011770 0.017476 0.026340 0.041761 0.069369 0.119901 0.228053
2025-08-03 0.011415 0.017079 0.025966 0.041607 0.070010 0.122896 0.238608
2025-08-10 0.011059 0.016666 0.025547 0.041350 0.070440 0.125505 0.248568